Free Premier League Predictions

Model-powered player and match forecasts.

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This site is a free personal project shared publicly for the benefit of others. Apply your own judgments and use if useful.

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This page features Premier League projections from my model. All values represent average expected outcomes to set realistic expectations of likely performance. Updated every gameweek within hours of the final fixture.

Contents:

• Team Ratings

• Simulated PL Table

• Matchweek Predictions

• Team Predictions: Goals / Clean Sheets / Win %

• Player Predictions: Goals / Assists / Goal Involvement / Next GW sims

• Fast Fantasy Model

• Team Style Profiles

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Team Ratings

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Simulated PL Table

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Matchweek Predictions

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Team Predictions: Goals / Clean Sheets / Win %

Player Predictions: Goals / Assists / Goal Involvement

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Fast Fantasy Model

The model above helps you put fantasy on 'easy mode' and play with little time investment.

This is not a predicted points model. It is primarily a tool for idea generation and saving time. You're unlikely to do badly if you pick players from this table you think will start, roll often, and adjust sensibly for your own beliefs and chip strategy.

For most fantasy decisions, there are serious diminishing returns for effort expended and getting good outcomes. Much of the heavy lifting happens in the sorting and filtering, which this model does for you.

I have made the decision to remove defensive contributions from these calculations because many people use them for non-FPL fantasy games. In any event, Defenders are less important than other positions, so rely on personal preference when selecting them.

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Team Style profiles from previous seasons can be found at this link. Style Profiles for 25/26 will be published after approximately 6-10 weeks of data.

This site is a free personal project. If you appreciate it, then consider making a donation to the most effective charities, under the guidance of Give Well. Let me know if you do!